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Berkas:Estimations of Human Brain Emulation Required Performance.svg

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Ukuran asli (Berkas SVG, secara nominal 800 × 600 piksel, besar berkas: 49 KB)

Berkas ini berasal dari Wikimedia Commons dan mungkin digunakan oleh proyek-proyek lain. Deskripsi dari halaman deskripsinya ditunjukkan di bawah ini.

Ringkasan

Deskripsi
English: Estimates of how much processing power is needed to emulate a human brain at various levels, along with the fastest supercomputer from TOP500 mapped by year, and a trendline. Exponential plot, with assumption of doubling of computational power every 1.1 years for the trendline.
Tanggal
Sumber Karya sendiri, data from [1], PPTSuperComputersPRINT.jpg, and [2].
Pembuat Tga.D
SVG genesis
InfoField
 
The SVG code is valid.
 
Gambar vektor ini dibuat menggunakan Gnuplot 5.2
 
This chart uses translateable embedded text.
Kode sumber
InfoField

Gnuplot code

set terminal svg size 800 600 fname "Times,13"
set output "Estimations of Human Brain Emulation Required Performance.svg"
set notitle
set key reverse Left left at 1993, 10**40 noautotitles box # good chunk of whitespace to put the key in
set datafile separator ","

set logscale y # use a logarithmic scale, for easier visualization of exponential growth
set format y "10^{%T}"
set yrange[10**9:10**45]
set ylabel "Flop/s"

set xrange [1990:2065]
set xlabel "Year"
set xtics 1990,5,2065
set mxtics 5
#set grid # I think it looks better without, but it's a matter of preference

# labels for each of the levels of emulation
set label "Analog network population model" at 2010, 10**14.5 left
set label "Spiking neural network" at 2010, 10**17.5 right
set label "Electrophysiology" at 2035, 10**22.5 right
set label "Metabolome" at 2047, 10**25.5 right
set label "Proteome" at 2050, 10**26.5 right
set label "States of protein complexes" at 2054, 10**27.5 right
set label "Distribution of complexes" at 2064, 10**30.5 right
set label "Stochastic behavior of single molecules" at 2064, 10**42.5 right

set label "Functional Simulation" at 2020, 10**16.5 left
set label "Neural Simulation" at 2030, 10**19.5 left

# best-fit is as of June 2022 list, to two sigfigs
# horizontal lines plotted to represent levels of emulation
# plot of historical TOP500 #1's stored in a .csv
# colors and sizes picked from what I thought was easiest to see
# titles done for one of each type of line, for the key
plot 87000000000.0*(2**((x-1993)/1.2)) lw 6 lc 0 w lines title "Trendline (doubling every 1.2 years)",\
     10**15 ls 3 lt rgb "#0073E6", \
     10**18 ls 3 lt rgb "#0073E6", \
     10**22 ls 3 lt rgb "#0073E6", \
     10**25 ls 3 lt rgb "#0073E6", \
     10**26 ls 3 lt rgb "#0073E6", \
     10**27 ls 3 lt rgb "#0073E6", \
     10**30 ls 3 lt rgb "#0073E6", \
     10**43 ls 3 lt rgb "#0073E6" title "Sandberg, Bostrom estimates (2008)",\
     10**16 ls 2 dt (50,10) lc rgb "#89CE00", \
     10**19 ls 2 dt (50,10) lt rgb "#89CE00" title "Kurzweil estimates (2005)",\
     "TOP500.csv" using 1:2 ls 1 lt rgb "#B51963" pt 7 ps .5 with linespoints title "Fastest Supercomputer (TOP500 #1)"

Data

The #1 computer over the years from TOP500, used to generate the supercomputer line at the end of the Gnuplot code. The name of each supercomputer is in the file, but unused in the code/chart. Whole number years represent a June list, .5 represents a November list. 

Year,Flop/s,Name
1993,59700000000,CM-5/1024
1993.5,124000000000,Numerical Wind Tunnel
1994,143400000000,XP/S140
1994.5,170000000000,Numerical Wind Tunnel
1996,220400000000,SR2201/1024
1996.5,368200000000,CP-PACS/2048
1997,1068000000000,ASCI Red
1997.5,1338000000000,ASCI Red
1999,2121000000000,ASCI Red
1999.5,2379000000000,ASCI Red
2000.5,4938000000000,ASCI White
2001,7226000000000,ASCI White
2002,35860000000000,Earth-Simulator
2004.5,70720000000000,BlueGene/L beta-System
2005,136800000000000,BlueGene/L
2005.5,280600000000000,BlueGene/L
2007.5,478200000000000,BlueGene/L
2008,1026000000000000,Roadrunner
2008.5,1105000000000000,Roadrunner
2009.5,1759000000000000,Jaguar
2010.5,2566000000000000,Tianhe-1A
2011,8162000000000000,K computer
2011.5,10510000000000000,K computer
2012,16324800000000000,Sequoia
2012.5,17590000000000000,Titan
2013,33862700000000000,Tianhe-2A
2016,93014600000000000,Sunway TaihuLight
2018,122300000000000000,Summit
2018.5,143500000000000000,Summit
2020,415530000000000000,Fugaku
2020.5,442000000000000000,Fugaku
2022,1102000000000000000,Frontier

Lisensi

Saya, pemilik hak cipta dari karya ini, dengan ini menerbitkan berkas ini di bawah ketentuan berikut:
w:id:Creative Commons
atribusi berbagi serupa
Berkas on ipartandoan sian on Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported partadoan.
Anda diizinkan:
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Berdasarkan ketentuan berikut:
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23 Desember 2012

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Riwayat berkas

Klik pada tanggal/waktu untuk melihat berkas ini pada saat tersebut.

Tanggal/WaktuMiniaturDimensiPenggunaKomentar
terkini22 Februari 2023 00.40Miniatur versi sejak 22 Februari 2023 00.40800 × 600 (49 KB)Tga.Dupdated data, fixed colors and styles to be more color blind-friendly
7 Maret 2022 16.11Miniatur versi sejak 7 Maret 2022 16.11800 × 600 (37 KB)Daemon2010Added Fugaku
20 Februari 2019 06.32Miniatur versi sejak 20 Februari 2019 06.32800 × 600 (45 KB)Tga.DIncrease font size; adjust label positions
20 Februari 2019 06.15Miniatur versi sejak 20 Februari 2019 06.15800 × 600 (45 KB)Tga.DRegenerated with a newer version of gnuplot, and more recent TOP500 data. Opted to not update the trendline, as the divergence from expected seems more relevant.
18 Juni 2013 22.20Miniatur versi sejak 18 Juni 2013 22.20800 × 600 (34 KB)Tga.DNew #1 on the TOP 500 June 2013 list.
24 Desember 2012 01.07Miniatur versi sejak 24 Desember 2012 01.07800 × 600 (34 KB)Tga.Dlarge mediawiki-generated png versions had messed up spacing in the key, switching the order to see if it fixes it
24 Desember 2012 00.29Miniatur versi sejak 24 Desember 2012 00.29800 × 600 (34 KB)Tga.DUser created page with UploadWizard

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